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Ratings

Uruguay on Negative Watch amid Sluggish Growth and Fiscal Concerns – Fitch

In its latest assessment the ratings agency warns elevated public debt is driven even higher as the new coalition government comes into office.

24 Feb 2020

Global Growth Forecast Marked Down Amid Lingering Coronavirus Threat – Moody’s

The ratings agency expects G-20 economies to grow at just 2.4% in 2020, with a pick-up to 2.8% next year.

17 Feb 2020

Latin America 2020: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

Take a good look at Latin America’s 21 countries today, and one quickly concludes that this is not a region moving in unison but rather a patchwork of divergent political and economic motors firing at different speeds, taking each in different directions. Rarely has it been this challenging to analyze Latin America as a whole, so it seems appropriate to showcase Latin America’s differences…

11 Feb 2020

Countries Must Protect ‘Natural Capital’ to Lower Sovereign Credit Risk – Grantham Research Institute

The London School of Economics’ Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and Environment and think tank Planet Tracker have published a report exploring the link between a country’s sovereign bonds and its natural resources, outlining a new research framework intended to allow market participants to integrate these considerations into the credit analysis process.

7 Feb 2020

NKBM’s Subordinated Bond Issue ‘Credit Positive’ – Moody’s

Nova Kreditna banka Maridor, Slovenia’s second-largest bank is planning to issue a EUR90.4mn subordinated bond – the bank’s first foray into the international capital markets since its 2013 default and subsequent privatisation.

6 Feb 2020

Geopolitical Policy Uncertainty, Asset Quality Deterioration, Vulnerability to Fickle Investor Sentiment Weigh on EM Banks – Especially in Turkey

Global and domestic tensions that could threaten policy continuity, asset quality deterioration, and shifting emerging market investor sentiment remain to remain the dominant risks for emerging market banks in 2020, says S&P Global. Turkey remains particularly vulnerable.

27 Jan 2020

Armenian Economy Went from Strength to Strength in 2019 – RAEX

In affirming its positive outlook and BB- rating for Armenia, the agency praised the fiscal stabilisation and a fall in public debt of one of the smaller economies in the CIS.

20 Jan 2020

Sri Lanka: Credit Under Pressure as Fiscal Consolidation Weakens

S&P revised its outlook on Sri Lanka to negative (B) following a similar move from Fitch in December, raising concerns about expansionary fiscal measures put in place by the authorities under recently elected President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

14 Jan 2020

Public Debt, Deficits to Undermine Latin American Countries’ Ability to Respond to Shocks - Fitch

Rapid growth in public debt and yawning fiscal deficits in a number of Latin American countries could erode the capacity of regional governments to weather a global economic downturn in 2020, according to a note from Fitch Ratings.

13 Jan 2020

Debt Servicing Costs Seen Weighing on Egypt’s Recovery

While the economic reforms of the past three years have pushed the country in the right direction and helped reduce the fiscal deficit, the interest bill is going to determine the scale of fiscal improvement in Egypt in the coming years, Moody’s said in a recently published paper.

13 Jan 2020

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