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Policy & Government

Kuwait’s 2020/21 Budget Reveals Record Fiscal Deficit – Marmore

Kuwait has published its budget proposal for the fiscal year 2021, which reveals that the nation’s deficit will climb for the sixth consecutive year in a row to reach a record high.

24 Jan 2020

Macro Bips & Pieces Policy & Government

Commercial Deals Totalling GBP6.5bn Between UK and Africa said to ‘Underwhelm’ Following High-Profile Summit

The UK and African governments launched a series of new initiatives during a high-profile investment and trade summit hosted in London this week, but despite the hype around the potential for post-Brexit free trade opportunities, some observers remain relatively underwhelmed.

23 Jan 2020

Uzbekistan Plans Ambitious IPO Schedule

Following the death of President Islam Karimov in 2016, Uzbekistan’s new President, Shavkat Mirziyoyev has set the country on a long but necessary path to reform. The relaxation of foreign exchange markets, release of political prisoners, and the sovereign’s debut Eurobond issuance have all since highlighted reform efforts in one of Asia’s most tightly controlled markets. Now, as the government…

21 Jan 2020

US Trade Deal with China: Phase One Is Signed Off, What Next?

The presidential seals on the deal are not even dry, but concerns about feasibility of some of the new agreement’s key aspects are already rising, ING Bank analysts suggest.

17 Jan 2020

Russian Government Overhaul Barely Moves Markets

The Russian leader announces little-known bureaucrat as replacement to Medvedev, who in turn will become the new deputy head of Russia’s Security Council.

16 Jan 2020

Nigeria’s Buhari Signs 2019 Finance Bill into Law

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has ratified a 2019 finance bill that will see a rise in a rise in VAT and taxes on non-resident firms, and ease others for domestic small businesses.

15 Jan 2020

Islamic Finance to Grow at Slow Rate in 2020 – S&P Global

The Islamic finance industry is set to grow at a rate of around 5% in 2020, due to weak conditions in economic conditions in the industry’s core markets, according to S&P Global’s ‘Islamic Finance Outlook 2020’. The report also notes three drivers - the rise of FinTech, ESG sukuk, and standardisation - could fuel the industry.

15 Jan 2020

West African Economic and Monetary Union Countries Lead Africa on Growth Amidst Broader Slump

Growth among West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries is expected to hold steady at 6.4% in 2020, according to World Bank figures, while growth prospects in some of the continent’s largest economies remain mixed.

15 Jan 2020

Sri Lanka: Credit Under Pressure as Fiscal Consolidation Weakens

S&P revised its outlook on Sri Lanka to negative (B) following a similar move from Fitch in December, raising concerns about expansionary fiscal measures put in place by the authorities under recently elected President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

14 Jan 2020

Russian Central Bank Eased Pace of De-dollarisation in 2019

While the government’s rhetoric implies commitment to dumping the greenback, latest figures released by the CBR tell a slightly different story.

14 Jan 2020

Kenyan Economic Growth Slowed in 2019 – Cytonn

Last year saw Kenyan economic growth slow, largely due to underperformance in the agricultural, transport and electricity sectors, according to the Cytonn Annual Markets Review.

13 Jan 2020

Private Sector Lending in Nigeria Rose 15% between January and November 2019, CBN Figures Show

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria shows loans to the private sector increased by NGN3.46tn between January and November 2019.

13 Jan 2020

Public Debt, Deficits to Undermine Latin American Countries’ Ability to Respond to Shocks - Fitch

Rapid growth in public debt and yawning fiscal deficits in a number of Latin American countries could erode the capacity of regional governments to weather a global economic downturn in 2020, according to a note from Fitch Ratings.

13 Jan 2020

The Missing Point in The Global Growth Debate

Global growth is decelerating. Policy-makers in developed economies are gearing up for yet more fiscal spending. While fiscal spending may support growth for a short time, and for longer if very carefully applied, it will not change the growth outlook fundamentally. This is because the main reason for slower growth lies elsewhere, namely in gross misallocation of capital on a global scale,…

10 Jan 2020

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