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Macro

Uzbekistan Plans Ambitious IPO Schedule

Following the death of President Islam Karimov in 2016, Uzbekistan’s new President, Shavkat Mirziyoyev has set the country on a long but necessary path to reform. The relaxation of foreign exchange markets, release of political prisoners, and the sovereign’s debut Eurobond issuance have all since highlighted reform efforts in one of Asia’s most tightly controlled markets. Now, as the government…

21 Jan 2020

Russia & CIS Macro Economics and Markets

Tepid Macro Backdrop To Weigh on South African Banks in 2020 – UBS

Despite a relatively positive outlook for EM banking sectors loan growth in 2020, a troubling macro backdrop will continue to weigh on the sector in South Africa throughout 2020, according to a recent report from UBS.

17 Jan 2020

Brazil, India, Indonesia and China to Drive EM Bank Loans in 2020

UBS analysts predict a strong rebound in credit impulse for EM lenders, with earnings forecast to rise to their highest levels since 2012.

16 Jan 2020

World’s Largest Economies Enjoy Falling Unemployment as Wage Growth Stagnates

Brazil was the only country to buck the trend, after seeing a substantial rise in unemployment over the past five years.

16 Jan 2020

Nigeria’s Buhari Signs 2019 Finance Bill into Law

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has ratified a 2019 finance bill that will see a rise in a rise in VAT and taxes on non-resident firms, and ease others for domestic small businesses.

15 Jan 2020

Markets See Omani Succession as “Credit Positive”

New sultan of Oman has huge shoes to fill, but progress on the reforms front is expected to continue, according to MUFG researchers.

14 Jan 2020

Middle East Tensions Concerning, but Lower Short-Term Conflict Risks – Ashmore

Concerns that the assassination of the Iranian general Qassem Soleimani may spark an escalation between the US and Iran have abated following the underwhelming Iranian response. Tensions linger, but in the short-term the prospect of conflict has subsided, according to a note from Ashmore.

14 Jan 2020

HSBC LatAm Global Banking Head: Sustainability Key for Resilience

While Latin American markets faced a series of domestic and global pressures throughout much of 2019, this year could see a number of those factors ease – creating new opportunities for capital allocators and fundraisers across the region and asset classes, Katia Bouazza, HSBC’s Head of Global Banking for the Latin America Region, tells Bonds & Loans in a wide-ranging interview on the outlook for…

14 Jan 2020

EM Currencies, Local Bonds Top Picks for 2020 – JP Morgan Asset Management

Last year was wracked by uncertainty, with trade tensions and a sharp reversal in rates weighing on growth. With the apparent relaxation of trade tensions and a consistent, supportive monetary policy environment, 2020 may be the year of revitalised economic growth, JP Morgan Asset Management analysts argue.

14 Jan 2020

Private Sector Lending in Nigeria Rose 15% between January and November 2019, CBN Figures Show

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria shows loans to the private sector increased by NGN3.46tn between January and November 2019.

13 Jan 2020

The Missing Point in The Global Growth Debate

Global growth is decelerating. Policy-makers in developed economies are gearing up for yet more fiscal spending. While fiscal spending may support growth for a short time, and for longer if very carefully applied, it will not change the growth outlook fundamentally. This is because the main reason for slower growth lies elsewhere, namely in gross misallocation of capital on a global scale,…

10 Jan 2020

China’s Economy to Grow Above 6% in 2020 – Standard Chartered

China’s economy is forecast to grow at a rate of 6.1% in 2020, according to Standard Chartered – 0.2% higher than the average market prediction of 5.9%.

9 Jan 2020

Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead

Leading investment advisors Brown Brothers Harriman give their take on the big drivers and key economic events to look out for in emerging markets this week

6 Jan 2020

Ukraine on the Mend as Domestic Capital Market Opens Up to International Investors

A preliminary agreement with the IMF on a vital USD5.5bn loan is an auspicious signal that a long-awaited economic recovery in Ukraine may be in the offing. But with the PrivatBank case and a number of other international litigation battles still simmering, bad headlines streaming from the US impeachment proceedings and little progress in establishing peace on the Eastern border, Ukraine still…

6 Jan 2020

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