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Macro

Mexico 2020 Growth Forecast Revised Down Amid Frail Business Confidence

Inflation and investment are expected to remain steady, with potential upside from the manufacturing sector if USMCA is finalized, Banorte analysis predicts.

27 Jan 2020

Brazil Enjoys Record High Debenture Issuance Despite Regulatory Constraints

With an infrastructure gap estimated at USD50bn annually, Brazil is falling behind many of its regional peers. As the state pulls back from financing projects, private investors are ready and willing to step in – but many tell Bonds & Loans they need a steady and enabling regulatory environment to find their footing in the sector.

24 Jan 2020

Kuwait’s 2020/21 Budget Reveals Record Fiscal Deficit – Marmore

Kuwait has published its budget proposal for the fiscal year 2021, which reveals that the nation’s deficit will climb for the sixth consecutive year in a row to reach a record high.

24 Jan 2020

Uzbekistan Plans Ambitious IPO Schedule

Following the death of President Islam Karimov in 2016, Uzbekistan’s new President, Shavkat Mirziyoyev has set the country on a long but necessary path to reform. The relaxation of foreign exchange markets, release of political prisoners, and the sovereign’s debut Eurobond issuance have all since highlighted reform efforts in one of Asia’s most tightly controlled markets. Now, as the government…

21 Jan 2020

Tepid Macro Backdrop To Weigh on South African Banks in 2020 – UBS

Despite a relatively positive outlook for EM banking sectors loan growth in 2020, a troubling macro backdrop will continue to weigh on the sector in South Africa throughout 2020, according to a recent report from UBS.

17 Jan 2020

Brazil, India, Indonesia and China to Drive EM Bank Loans in 2020

UBS analysts predict a strong rebound in credit impulse for EM lenders, with earnings forecast to rise to their highest levels since 2012.

16 Jan 2020

World’s Largest Economies Enjoy Falling Unemployment as Wage Growth Stagnates

Brazil was the only country to buck the trend, after seeing a substantial rise in unemployment over the past five years.

16 Jan 2020

Nigeria’s Buhari Signs 2019 Finance Bill into Law

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has ratified a 2019 finance bill that will see a rise in a rise in VAT and taxes on non-resident firms, and ease others for domestic small businesses.

15 Jan 2020

Markets See Omani Succession as “Credit Positive”

New sultan of Oman has huge shoes to fill, but progress on the reforms front is expected to continue, according to MUFG researchers.

14 Jan 2020

Middle East Tensions Concerning, but Lower Short-Term Conflict Risks – Ashmore

Concerns that the assassination of the Iranian general Qassem Soleimani may spark an escalation between the US and Iran have abated following the underwhelming Iranian response. Tensions linger, but in the short-term the prospect of conflict has subsided, according to a note from Ashmore.

14 Jan 2020

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