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EM Telecoms During the Crisis: A Different Kind of Going Viral

When most other sectors face an unprecedented crisis, the telecoms industry could stand to benefit as demand for digital communciations soars on the back of requirements for self-isolation and quarantines across most of the world's nations, argues Manulife's Richard Segal, but the ability of telecoms to prosper in challenging times varies significantly from market to market.

27 Mar 2020

Economics and Markets Investor Insights Global

US Fed and Senate Double Whammy Response Lifts markets, EMs to Follow Suit

Promise of unlimited monetary stimulus and signs of a tentative USD2tn stimulus package in the US Senate offered some much-needed comfort to global markets, with EMs receiving an additional boost from their governments through promises of additional fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing.

26 Mar 2020

Ashmore: Assessing the EM Policy Reaction-Function in the Context of a COVID-19 Induced Recession

Ashmore's Deputy Head of Research Gustavo Medeiros assesses the policy reactions in emerging and developed world to the COVID19 pandemic and its impact on the global economy, concluding that EMs - lead by a gradual recovery in China and intra-EM trade - will regain strength and resilience as the crisis subsides.

25 Mar 2020

Liquidity Concerns – Not Solvency – Driving Fixed-Income Pricing - Eaton Vance

As demand for dollars worldwide soars, cracks and dislocations are appearing in various markets including fixed income, which has seen a huge liquidity drain despite largely unchanged fundamentals.

25 Mar 2020

Emerging Market Corporate Defaults Unlikely to Reach 2008/9 Levels - Bank of Singapore

Investors concerned about a global financial crisis-style blowout in emerging market corporate spreads may be pleasantly surprised as a number of technical and fundamental factors leave the asset class in a much stronger position than was the case over a decade ago, according to Bank of Singapore analysts.

25 Mar 2020

Looking Past the Pandemic: Where Will the Opportunities Lie?

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has derailed the outlook of investors worldwide as growth and trade grind to a halt. With no clear end to the crisis in sight, many are increasingly bearish. But according to Hani Redha, Multi Asset Portfolio Manager at Pinebridge Investments, if investors look past what is likely a temporary downturn, then there are opportunities in the distance.

24 Mar 2020

Fiscal Stimulus Seen Putting Pressure on Credit Ratings Globally – RenCap

As most of emerging and developed markets announce massive fiscal stimulus packages to compliment monetary policy easing in efforts to contain the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, mass credit downgrades are likely to follow, Renaissance Capital analysts warn.

24 Mar 2020

BBH: EM Preview for the Week Ahead

EM and other risk assets are likely to remain under pressure this week as the impact of the coronavirus continues to spread. Germany and Italy announced more severe restrictions on gatherings and travel. Reports that the Republican Senate-led aid bill has stalled due to Democratic resistance hasn’t helped matters, nor have increasingly dire estimates of the potential Q2 contraction for the US.

23 Mar 2020

Do Current Valuations Compensate Investors for Increased Default Risk?

As COVID-19 and the ongoing oil price spat between Riyadh and Moscow continues to wreak havoc on markets across the world, the spreads on high yield assets in both EM and DM have widened significantly. With many companies seeing their revenues take a beating at countries go into lockdown, and with many sovereigns juggling their need for fiscal stimulus with already lopsided public finances, Iain…

23 Mar 2020

As Flight to Safety Escalates, Fiscal Stimulus Prospects Vary Widely Across Emerging Markets

Total spread widening for the EMBI Global Index has reached a remarkable 286bp, according to ING, more than the 241bp monthly change seen at the peak of the 2008 crisis. Fiscal injections will be required across the board, but continued access to the debt capital markets will be instrumental for countries to pursue fiscal easing to soften the blow from the economic slowdown.

20 Mar 2020

Coronavirus is Turning Out to be the Great (Valuation) Leveller for Markets

The global economy may be going into meltdown mode as governments the world over struggle to contain the spread of COVID-19, with investors feeling the brunt of a global selloff that seems to have left no asset class – including emerging market debt – unscathed as economies grind to a halt. While it is still too early to fully understand the potential human, economic, and market fallout, many…

19 Mar 2020

Emerging Economies to see Boom in Off-Grid Renewables – Wood Mackenzie

Enormous strides have been made towards developing effective and affordable ways of generating power over the past decade, with technological innovation enhancing the viability of off-grid solutions. For emerging economies, a boom in off-grid energy will likely enhance access to swathes of the population, argues Wood Mackenzie. For state utilities, however, off-grid solutions could be…

18 Mar 2020

EM Outflows at Near-Record Level since January– IIF

The cumulative negative impact of the coronavirus-related shocks on capital volumes going into EMs has surpassed lows seen during the Taper Tantrum and the peak of the global financial crisis, latest numbers posted by the IIF suggest.

18 Mar 2020

Emerging Market Guru Sees Buying Opportunities Ahead

As indices and asset prices continue to jostle, at least one veteran emerging market investor is starting to see buying opportunities emerge.

17 Mar 2020

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