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Policy & Government

In The Know: A View From The MENA Fixed Income Markets

Anita Yadav is Head of Fixed Income Research at Emirates NBD. She has over 14 years of experience in fixed income research and sales, spread across Australia, India, Asia and Middle East. In her current role, she focusses on global fixed income markets with a particular emphasis on the GCC region, covering conventional bonds as well as sukuk products.

1 Jul 2016

Ashmore: Brexit shows markets totally underestimate DM risks

The spill-over of post-Brexit market pandemonium was fairly minimal in EMs with the exception of some Eastern European countries like Poland and Hungary. But above all, recent market activity shows investors generally underestimate – and thus aren’t compensated for taking – risks in developed markets, according to a recent note from Ashmore Investment Management.

28 Jun 2016

Brexit: Time To Be Rational Not Sentimental

With markets increasingly pricing Remain in the days prior to the referendum, global equities are down sharply, matching or in some cases exceeding the dark days of 2008. Sterling is at the centre of the storm, with a nearly 10% hit against the US dollar since Thursday’s close. Not surprisingly, traditional safe havens such as government bonds in advanced economies, the Japanese yen and gold are…

24 Jun 2016

Brexit rocks the EM boat

Brexit has sent shock waves across international markets. Although emerging markets across the globe and investor sentiment are suffering in the wake of the vote, some economies coping better than others, and overall the implications of the UK’s vote to leave could soon subside. However, future referendums across other EU member states could have serious implications for Eastern European EMs in…

24 Jun 2016

Central Banks: How Low Can You Go?

Denmark, Sweden, the Eurozone, Switzerland and Japan. The Central Banks of these countries, listed in chronological order, are the pioneers of negative interest rates. Under conventional monetary policy, banks earn income (interest) from cash reserves parked at the Central Bank. Under negative interest rates, banks are penalized and charged a fee for holding cash.

23 Jun 2016

Naira drop hits investments and lending with mixed results

The relaxation in Nigeria’s FX policy has led to a significant devaluation of the naira. Investment will still likely be slow on the local currency side, but foreign currency investment could soon rise. Nigeria’s banking sector will likely suffer in the short term from the naira’s devaluation, but could see a pickup in the long term through dollar inflows.

22 Jun 2016

When yuan met yuan: potential Chinese bank rules could prompt FX convergence

The People’s Bank of China’s decision to consider allowing local onshore banks to trade in China’s offshore market could lead to a convergence between the two, which would aid in the internationalisation of the renminbi and also assist in the development of the country’s bond markets.

22 Jun 2016

Not everything that falls goes up

It is natural for a country’s investment cycle to be more volatile than the GDP cycle, since investment decisions are more affected by the overall economic picture than by household consumption or government spending, which are more stable.

22 Jun 2016

European currencies stable despite Brexit woes

Although a Brexit vote will affect the global markets, the CEE region and in particularly the UK’s larger trading partners within the region such as Poland will be most heavily impacted. However, although concerns over Brexit have caused fluctuations within these markets’ currencies, they have remained relatively resilient over the course of the last month.

21 Jun 2016

Private beats public on EM debt concerns

Emerging market debt levels are on the rise. Public sector debt has grown substantially, largely from countries reliant on commodity exports. However the real concern is over EM private sector debts, which since the financial crash have been steadily increasing.

15 Jun 2016

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