Investor Insights
Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
EM FX came under great pressure last week despite the ECB’s dovish hold. Markets instead focused on the grim eurozone economic outlook, which comes within the context of a broader global slowdown. It’s clear that EM needs more than just the liquidity story, though that may be tested too with the spate of US data releases (retail sales, CPI, and PPI) out this week. We remain negative on EM.
11 Mar 2019
Brazil: The Foreign Investor Awaits
An influx of foreign investment following a long-awaited pensions reform is not a given, warns XPI's Zeina Latif.
6 Mar 2019
Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
EM FX ended the week soft as the dollar continued to claw back recent losses on the back of higher US rates. US jobs data this Friday will be very important to keep the trend of rising US rates going. Meanwhile, low inflation in EM should allow central banks to start contemplating rate cuts, though none are expected to cut anytime soon.
4 Mar 2019
AzFinance: We Anticipate Azeri Local Issuance to Reach AZN100mn by the End of 2019
Abid Mamedov, CEO of AzFinance Investment Company CJSC, talks about the rising appetite for Azerbaijani paper, exposure to Russian risk, and expectations for the local currency bond market in 2019.
28 Feb 2019
Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
EM ended the week firm on rising optimism regarding US-China trade. Talks will continue this week ahead of Friday’s deadline. It may be too soon to strike a deal, however, and so we expect a 60-day extension. China provides the first snapshot of February activity with its PMI readings this week, where some stability is seen after recent stimulus measures. Downside risks remain in place, however.
25 Feb 2019
Malaysia Sukuk Pipeline to Remain Strong as Corporates Seek to Secure Longer Tenors
Dato' Lee Kok Kwan, Chairman of BIX Malaysia, the Bond and Sukuk Information Exchange Malaysia, spoke with Bonds & Loans about the sukuk pipeline for the coming year, growing demand for Sharia-compliant instruments, and Malaysia’s innovative approach to Islamic finance.
22 Feb 2019
Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
Since their post-FOMC peak on January 31, both MSCI EM and MSCI EM FX have fallen. Virtually every EM currency has given up their post-FOMC gains, the lone exception being MYR (+0.2%). The worst performers have been ZAR (-6%), ARS (-3.3%), and TRY (-2.3%). This supports our belief that the liquidity and low US rates story is not enough to sustain the EM rally on its own. What’s still missing is…
18 Feb 2019
China: Onshore Bond Index Inclusion Marks Milestone in Financial Liberalisation
The recent announcement that Chinese government bonds (CGBs) and policy bank bonds will be included in the Bloomberg Barclay’s Global Aggregate (Global Agg) Index marks a huge milestone in China’s gradual integration into global markets. Not only does index inclusion herald the beginning of an influx of foreign investment, but it has the potential to mould credit markets across the region.
14 Feb 2019
Special Report: The Cost of Internet Shutdowns in Africa
How do telecom operators and governments shut down an entire country’s connectivity? In Africa, where is the risk highest in 2019? And, what is the commercial and economic impact of the shutdowns? EXX Africa's Robert Besseling provides the analysis.
12 Feb 2019
Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
EM FX ended the week mixed but gave up much of their post-FOMC gains as the week progressed. MYR, PHP, and MXN were the best EM performers for the week and posted small gains. ZAR, BRL, and ARS were the worst in EM, dropping nearly 2% against USD. US-China trade talks and Chinese data are likely to set the tone for EM this week. Reports that the US government may shut down again should weigh on…
11 Feb 2019