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BlackRock Hits Pause on Emerging Market Local Debt Citing FX Concerns
BlackRock is shifting gears on emerging market local debt on the back of what it sees as further currency depreciation risk following the introduction of easing measures in some developing countries.
22 Apr 2020
Kenya’s Banking Sector Poised for More Consolidation – Cytonn Investments
With 38 lenders catering to just over 52 million people, and despite a series of mergers, the Kenyan banking sector appears overbanked. Further consolidation is expected in the years to come, which could result in a number of larger, better-capitalised, more stable banks, according to Cytonn Investments.
22 Apr 2020
South Africa’s ZAR500bn Fiscal Bazooka Risks “Chasing a Growing Hole”
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa unveiled a ZAR500bn (approx. USD26.5bn) fiscal support package this week in a bid to help ease some of the economic pressures caused by the spread of COVID-19 and the lockdown designed to contain it. Analysts say South Africa, which was already in a precarious fiscal position before the lockdown began, was right to jump off the fiscal cliff – but now risks…
22 Apr 2020
Chile, Colombia Enlist Banking Sector to Help Channel Relief for Businesses and SMEs
The Andean nations are relying on banks to help disburse pandemic support packages into the wider economy – but will near-zero interest rates feed through to borrowers?
21 Apr 2020
Is It Time for Asset Allocators to Address Climate Risk as Investment Risk?
While world governments take action to mitigate a climate catastrophe, asset managers should start abandoning investment models that treat climate-related risk as something tangential or exogenous to investment risk.
21 Apr 2020
Technical Factors See Oil Prices Diverge, Slip Into Negative Territory as Producers Approach Capacity Limits
Oil futures dropped sharply through Monday afternoon, with WTI leading the decline to close at negative USD37.60, the first time oil futures settled in negative territory.
21 Apr 2020
China Registered Negative Quarterly Growth for the First Time in 40 Years
China’s economy contracted for the first time in nearly 40 years due a coronavirus-inflicted slowdown through the first quarter of this year, although green shoots have started to emerge in March.
21 Apr 2020
IMF Debt Relief Programmes May Lead to More Defaults in Private Sector – Moody’s
This week the IMF announced plans to provide USD500mn in debt relief to some of the world’s poorest countries under its Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust. All countries eligible for concessional financing from the World Bank are targeted by the G7’s debt service payments.
20 Apr 2020
Brown Brothers Harriman: EM Preview of the Week Ahead
EM is coming off a difficult week in which all the economic data underscored just how bad the global outlook has gotten. While risk sentiment ended last week on an upbeat note, we believe EM and other risk assets will have difficulty getting much traction as the data continue to worsen. Oil prices remain under pressure and that is likely to weight on sentiment as well.
20 Apr 2020
RBI Announces New Policy Measures to Aid FIs
This week the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a new set of policy measures to curb the impact of coronavirus on Indian markets. Suyash Choudhary, Portfolio Manager at IDFC Mutual Fund believes the policy measures announced “will serve to ease financial conditions at the margin.”
20 Apr 2020