Despite some positive developments last week, we think the three key issues for risk assets have not been resolved yet. Hong Kong protests continue, while reports suggest the US and China remain far apart. Even Brexit has likely been given only a three month reprieve. We remain negative on EM until these key issues have been ultimately resolved.
9 Sep 2019
Known for a wide range of high-profile investments into companies like automotive heavyweight McLaren Group and metals giant Aluminium Bahrain (Alba), Mumtalakat – Bahrain’s sovereign wealth fund – is doubling down on its search for investment opportunities that have a lasting positive impact on the real economy. Several months after it issued a debut sukuk and ahead of its 15-year anniversary,…
4 Sep 2019
Market sentiment rallied last week on a lot of unsubstantiated claims by President Trump regarding China trade talks. At best, we know there is no further escalation (for now). At worst, the two sides remain far apart, and a deal is unlikely until 2020. That’s no reason to load up on EM. As long as current and planned tariffs are in effect, global growth risks will remain high and EM will…
2 Sep 2019
One of the most important public issues in every country is Social Security. That is normal. Retirement is too serious a matter to be disregarded by the State. Human beings are not always rational and their choices might also be based on subjective factors, such as the importance given to social status. Individuals can choose to consume too much today and not save for retirement. The result would…
29 Aug 2019
In one of a series of exclusive market snapshots for Bonds & Loans, Frank Holmes, CEO of US Global Investors and one of the most experienced and successful capital managers in the mining sector outlines the main risks to global economic stability, assesses the damage from US-China stand-off and describes Donald Trump as an “economic neocon.”
28 Aug 2019
This year has seen yet another spate of debut sovereign issuances from across emerging markets (EM). Meanwhile, softening growth in China has tempered the GDP outlook across emerging markets. Bonds & Loans speaks with Kaan Nazli, Senior Economist and emerging markets sovereign debt Portfolio Manager at Neuberger Berman, about the EM outlook through 2019.
27 Aug 2019
The US-China trade war is extending and expanding. There is no longer any semblance of a truce, and this is unequivocally negative for EM. CNY, INR, SGD, MXN, and BRL are making new cycle lows, and many other EM currencies are likely to follow suit.
27 Aug 2019
Investors are suddenly much more concerned about the political transition in Argentina, but default is by no means a certainty, argues Ashmore's Gustavo Medeiros, and opportunities abound.
23 Aug 2019
As major Central Banks look set for more monetary easing, yield-hungry investors are once again piling into some of the more exotic sovereign bonds - and supply is growing in response.
21 Aug 2019
The recent cancellation of high-profile Chinese infrastructure projects in Tanzania and Kenya does not indicate a shift in attitude towards investment from China, writes Robert Besseling, executive director of EXX Africa.
20 Aug 2019