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EM Bond Covenants Strengthen Slightly – Moody’s

Emerging market covenant scores have improved slightly in the six months prior to 31 March, according to a recent report from Moody’s. The period saw covenant quality scores strengthen to 3.25 from 3.35 over the same period a year prior – far stronger than those seen on bonds issued in EMEA and North America, exceeding them in all categories except one.

20 Apr 2020

Foreign Investors Flock Back into Government Bonds as Russia’s Central Bank Ponders Rate Cut

Though down from the levels seen in early March, the share of foreign investors in Russian sovereign bonds stayed above 30% as juicy yields, calming global markets and a dovish outlook at the CBR attracted foreign buyers.

20 Apr 2020

OPEC Deal will Reduce Uncertainty for Saudi Arabia but Macro Will Pay a Heavy Price – Goldman Sachs

An historic deal between OPEC+ and the G20 last weekend may not be sufficient to lift oil prices materially in the near term given the scale of decline in global demand for oil, according to research from Goldman Sachs.

19 Apr 2020

Vive Energia: ‘In Times of Crisis, All You Can Do is Push Ahead’

Vive Energia, a Renewable Energy Development Company and Consulting Firm, is going ahead with a number of wind and solar energy projects across Mexico, even as volatility engulfs global markets and liquidity drains out of EM assets. Jose Antonio Aguilar, Principal at Vive Energia, talks about pros and cons of project financing, the idiosyncratic challenges of the energy sector in Mexico and the…

17 Apr 2020

Argentina: as Default Looms, Currency Depreciation, Inflation Begin to Bite

As tough negotiations with creditors over the country’s USD70bn debt pile continue, a further decline in the peso and rising food prices are adding to the ever-growing list of issues facing the country’s population.

17 Apr 2020

Nigeria OPEC+ Mandated Production Cut “More Palatable” than Initially Feared

Renaissance Capital analysts Nikolas Stefanou and Alexander Burgansky suggest the headline 23% figure quoted in the OPEC+ agreement excludes condensate production, which makes up a large share of Nigeria’s overall oil output.

17 Apr 2020

ASEAN Green Bond Issuance Jumped 50% in 2019

Across ASEAN, 2019 was a big year for green bonds with issuance rising over 50% to reach a total of USD258bn, according to a report from HSBC and the Climate Bonds Initiative (CBI). But clear disparities remain between countries, with Singapore increasingly dominating the issuance pipeline.

17 Apr 2020

Ecuador Shows Why Investors Should Engage in ‘Consensual’ Solutions to COVID Crisis - Ashmore

Ecuador, like many EM countries, has been shaken by a toxic cocktail of coronavirus, crashing oil prices and restricted access to financial markets. But according to Jan Dehn, Head of Research at Ashmore, Ecuador’s approach to dealing with the crisis – defined by pro-active engagement with creditors – is one others in the market should learn from.

17 Apr 2020

As Latin America Hunkers Down to Tackle Coronavirus, How Vulnerable is Brazil?

Latin American countries are hunkering down amidst an escalating pandemic, testing the resilience of businesses, banks, and investors, with many observers sharply focused on how one of the region’s largest economies – Brazil – will weather the storm.

16 Apr 2020

“More to be Done” From Kenyan Government to Buoy Economy – Cytonn Investments

Kenya has so far managed to limit the spread of COVID-19, with just 184 cases and 7 deaths reported as of 10 April 2020, and the government has responded with fiscal and monetary measures to buoy the economy. According to Cytonn Investments, the government’s actions need to go further but the government remains constrained by its fiscal deficit.

16 Apr 2020