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Ashmore: The Case for a Global Macro-Prudential Policy

The tendency for global capital to flee ‘risky’ Emerging Markets (EM) countries indiscriminately in favour of ‘risk free’ developed markets during outbreaks of global risk aversion is one of the great international market failures of our time. This behaviour has been ubiquitous in past crises and the 2020 Coronavirus Crisis is no exception. EM countries have experienced indiscriminate outflows, regardless of their policies or fundamentals. Fortunately, today most established EM countries have local markets, so their vulnerability to outflows is significantly reduced. However, the least developed EM countries remain completely exposed, lending weight to the argument that new global macro-prudential policy tools are imperative.

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Dr Jan Dehn, Global Head of Research and member of the Investment Committee, joined Ashmore in 2005. As a global strategist and economist, with vast experience in international macroeconomic issues, Jan is responsible for making key calls on markets and economies at a global level. His expertise spans developed and Emerging Markets with particular emphasis on the international linkages between economics, finance and politics. At Ashmore, Jan has traded developed and Emerging Markets, including sovereign external debt, local currency bonds, FX, corporate bonds, and Frontier Markets.

Earlier in his career, Jan was a strategist at Credit Suisse First Boston in New York and London. He has also worked as a consultant at the World Bank in Washington DC undertaking research on public finance and commodity issues, and has been an economic adviser to a number of Emerging Markets governments.

Jan holds a Doctorate in Economics from Oxford University, a Master’s Degree in Quantitative Economics from Warwick University, and a Bachelor’s Degree in Economics from Sussex University. He has lived on three continents and travelled to more than 140 countries. He is also a fully qualified wooden shipwright.

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