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Policy & Government

Ukraine on the Mend as Domestic Capital Market Opens Up to International Investors

A preliminary agreement with the IMF on a vital USD5.5bn loan is an auspicious signal that a long-awaited economic recovery in Ukraine may be in the offing. But with the PrivatBank case and a number of other international litigation battles still simmering, bad headlines streaming from the US impeachment proceedings and little progress in establishing peace on the Eastern border, Ukraine still…

6 Jan 2020

Webinar: What are the top themes likely to dominate emerging market investing in 2020?

Mark Mobius, Director of Mobius Capital Partners gives his outlook for 2020

2 Jan 2020

Emerging Market Debt in 2020: Global Investors on The Short, The Long, and Everything In-Between

Despite trade tensions, political volatility, and the occasional instance of societal upheaval, emerging market debt returns were broadly positive this year as investors once again hunted for yield against a backdrop of globally depressed rates. Will 2020 see much the same, or will concerns over global growth and rising political risk lead the market into a downturn? We summarise what top…

20 Dec 2019

Indonesia: Wide Current Account, Infrastructure Spending Limiting Easing Room in 2020 – HSBC

A wide current account deficit heading into next year is likely to limit the amount of easing Indonesia’s Central Bank will be capable of delivering, according to economists at HSBC, signalling a need for further reform in the Asian country.

17 Dec 2019

Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead

Risk assets such as EM got a big boost last week, as tail risks from a hard Brexit and the US-China trade war have clearly ebbed. Still, the initial lack of details on the Phase One deal as well as uncertainty regarding the next phases have left the markets a bit jittery and nervous. Hopefully, this week may bring some further clarity and the good news is that the December 15 tariffs have been…

16 Dec 2019

In Saudi Real Estate, Unrivalled Ambition Spurs Huge Opportunities and Significant Challenges

With a pipeline that includes transforming deserted islands into resort towns and near empty coastal beaches into cities the size of Washington DC, and increasing the proportion of homeownership to 70% of occupants, there are few if any examples that seem to rival the scale of ambition – or the interconnectedness and complexity of the challenges – entailed by the Saudi government’s bid to rapidly…

13 Dec 2019

Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead

EM has had a good month so far as market optimism on a Phase One trade deal remains high. Yet November trade data due out this week should show that until that deal is finalized, the outlook for EM remains weak. Deadline for the next round of US tariffs is December 15 and so talks this week are crucial. Lastly, three major EM central banks are expected to cut rates this week, underscoring the…

9 Dec 2019

Bolivia: Political Upheaval Undercuts Latin America’s Socialist Fairy Tale

The flight of Bolivia’s president Evo Morales following street protests and an intervention by the country’s armed forces was in some ways the least unexpected turn of events making waves across Latin America’s political landscape. While for the last decade the Andean nation has been a beacon of stability and high growth, much of it came from generous but unsustainable fiscal policies ripe for…

5 Dec 2019

SRC CEO on Balancing Funding, Increasing Home Ownership, and Avoiding Western-Style Hubris

The Saudi government has set itself the ambitious task of turning roughly 70% of the population into homeowners, leading to a rapid step-up in mortgage provision and bolstering the need for balance sheet solutions required to keep the all-important liquidity wheel turning. That’s where Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company (SRC) comes into the picture. We speak with Fabrice Susini, the CEO of SRC,…

4 Dec 2019

A LIBORious Transition: Weaning the World off the Most Popular Credit Benchmark

More than two years have passed since the UK FCA’s Chief Executive Andrew Bailey set the deadline for the financial markets’ transition away from LIBOR, upon which roughly USD350tn in securities, loans and derivatives across five major currencies is contracted. Finding an alternative that can satisfy the diversity of markets that rest upon this crucial benchmark is proving to be more elusive than…

3 Dec 2019

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